[AR] Re: Michigan Announces a vertical launch facility

  • From: Henry Spencer <hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Arocket List <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 30 Jul 2020 17:34:19 -0400 (EDT)

On Thu, 30 Jul 2020, Elliot Robert wrote:

I think they were thinking airplane launched rockets would work in Oscoda because the airforce base there has contaminants in the ground that would likely make setting up shop easier from a paper work standpoint.

As Jeff Greason said once, approximately: "You want a place where the bulldozers have already been and all the endangered species have already been killed." :-)

Both these sites have the same problem as launching dog-leg southern trajectories from the cape. They are going to be going over populated areas. Not much up there but those little villages near the north shore of Lake Superior still count don't they? 
Does anyone on this list know if legal framework of any kind exists for the operation of rockets over populated areas?

There isn't anything in the rules about "populated areas", per se, last I looked. The basic requirement is that risks to the uninvolved public be held below a specified level; whether you achieve that by not flying anywhere near them, or by flying safely enough that there is little chance of harming them, is your decision. (You may find it harder to convince the FAA that the latter strategy is effective, especially for the first flight of a new design.) If I recall correctly, they borrowed the USAF launch-safety rule: "expected casualties", per flight, below 30e-6, a number chosen to be similar to the risks to the uninvolved public from mid-20th-century aircraft flying overhead.

The population density along the ground track of a launch north from the Upper Peninsula is low enough that meeting the requirement probably wouldn't be prohibitively hard. It would help a great deal if the rocket(s) in question already have a flight history; it's hard to convince the regulators that a paper rocket's probability of failure is known with any confidence.

*Most* orbital launches fly over populated areas eventually; it simply can't be avoided. Every launch from the Cape to ISS flies over Western Europe, which is one great big populated area.

Henry

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