[opendtv] Forecast: Snow on Feb. 18

  • From: "Manfredi, Albert E" <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 15 Jan 2009 11:10:41 -0500

"Meredith Attwell Baker, NTIA acting administrator, said in early January that 
no one could have predicted the rising demand for boxes-although there was 
plenty of skepticism throughout 2008 from lawmakers and consumer groups. She 
said she only told Congress the program might run out of money in early 
November, just after the elections.

"Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., who is pushing a bill to subsidize antennas for 
those left at the bottom of the digital cliff, chalked the situation up to the 
general incompetence of the Bush Administration."

Am I reading this right? Now we're also going to get govt-subsidized antennas?

We have heard a lot about the availability of coupons, but nothing (yet) about 
availability of the boxes themselves, or of antennas. I guess supply of these 
items must still be okay.

Bert

-----------------------------------------
http://www.tvtechnology.com/article/72928

Forecast: Snow on Feb. 18
by Sanjay Talwani, 01.14.2009

WASHINGTON After years of planning, billions of dollars in ads and warnings 
from scores of lawmakers and consumer groups, the DTV transition could still 
leave millions of viewers without television on Feb. 18.

Despite repeated inquiries from Congress-and repeated assurances by National 
Telecommunications and Information Administration officials-the program to 
subsidize converter boxes ran out of money Jan. 4, putting viewers on waitlists 
by the hundreds of thousands.

Even if those viewers decided to pay for boxes without the coupons, they may be 
out of luck, as the NTIA itself projected that demand for the boxes could 
outpace the supply by 2.5 million.

Chris McLean, executive director of the Consumer Electronics Retailers 
Coalition, said in early January that stores seemed to have plenty of boxes on 
hand, but he stopped short of promising enough for the crunch.

"[Retailers] are playing a game of multi-level chess with each other to have 
enough supply to meet demand and not have a surplus whenever this cycle is 
over," he said. "And the length of the cycle is not known."

The situation is dire enough that the incoming Obama Administration has floated 
the idea of delaying the transition date outright. That could be complicated, 
since new spectrum licensees, as well as the re-assigned DTV channels of the 
broadcasters themselves, are restricting even those who can participate in the 
30-day "nightlight" extension (for DTV education and emergency information 
only) that will at least explain to viewers why they have no regular 
programming.

Thousands of "call agents" are expected to staff call centers, like this one in 
Milwaukee, during the most critical days in mid-February.

To handle the expected onslaught of angry, confused viewers, broadcasters, the 
FCC and the cable industry are planning massive call centers, with staffs in 
the thousands. But even those would be hard-pressed to answer the 2 million 
calls-as many as 125,000 an hour on Feb. 18-the FCC figures could come in.

That leaves the prospect of viewers not just without television, but also 
waiting on hold on government phone lines and doing battle with automated call 
systems.

SCRAMBLING

The impending PR nightmare has industry groups and lawmakers scrambling and 
pointing fingers.

Meredith Attwell Baker, NTIA acting administrator, said in early January that 
no one could have predicted the rising demand for boxes-although there was 
plenty of skepticism throughout 2008 from lawmakers and consumer groups. She 
said she only told Congress the program might run out of money in early 
November, just after the elections.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., who is pushing a bill to subsidize antennas for 
those left at the bottom of the digital cliff, chalked the situation up to the 
general incompetence of the Bush Administration.

Consumers Union and the NAB called for emergency measures to get more money in 
to the coupon program (at press time, the only coupon funding was that recycled 
from unused, expired coupons).

FOR ENGLISH, PRESS 1

The FCC is planning to spend millions of dollars on its call centers, 
anticipating nearly 1.5 million calls on Feb. 18-19 alone.

√√In a letter to Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass., then the chairman of the House 
Telecommunications Subcommittee, outgoing FCC Chairman Kevin Martin warned of 
as many as 125,000 calls per hour, requiring as many as 7,000 workers.

Martin said the FCC may have funding for 2,300 agents, and that the National 
Cable and Telecommuni-cations Administration plans for its members to pony up 
4,000 to 5,000 more. Also, NAB plans for its members to offer still more, in 
addition to numerous efforts by state broadcasters' associations and local 
stations themselves.

NCTA and NAB spokesmen offered few details on the call centers, saying that the 
various groups were still working on having a unified approach. NAB said it 
hoped many callers-at least those facing reception issues-would be routed to 
local or state call centers.

NAB spokeswoman Shermaze Ingram said the centers would be operated largely by 
established call center companies and experienced staff, using lessons from the 
experience of calls generated by broadcasters' simulated shutoffs and 
educational efforts so far.

"They're not going to be taking people off the streets," she said.

An FCC spokesman offered no details on the call center operation, saying the 
prospective contracts were pending.

The commission issued its Request for Proposals for the job Dec. 24, with the 
bids due Jan. 9. Among the details in the 44-page RFP: The FCC estimates that 
30 percent of the calls will be from Spanish speakers and 70 percent will end 
up actually speaking with a human.

The specs require 80 percent of the calls to be answered within five minutes. 
On Feb. 17-19, the FCC call center will be staffed 24 hours a day. And all 
facilities and staff will be located in the United States.

Statewide organizations already have a head-start on the customer response, and 
many local broadcasters believe they are best able to handle the cultural and 
geographical quirks of their own regions. But local broadcasters are 
hard-pressed for the cash for some operations.

GOING LOCAL

The Michigan Association of Broadcasters, along with regional chain Don-Lors 
Electronics, has had 40 incoming lines in a call center since Oct. 1, handling 
about 1,500 to 2,000 calls per day. Most involve people wanting converter 
coupons, and the agents have ordered those online for callers, according to MAB 
President and CEO Karole White. (Most callers-90 percent-are not Internet 
users, she said.) The next greatest need is help installing the boxes.

In the Michigan case, people who don't reach a human can leave a message, to be 
returned within 24 hours.

"The people that we call back are just amazed that we actually called them 
back," she said.

In a very few cases, technicians have visited homes to install boxes. MAB is 
also working with other groups for outreach, particularly to seniors. White 
believes local operations can better serve the public and that the FCC and NTIA 
should have considered more block grants to state groups for such operations.

While the NAB, NCTA and FCC all plan an integrated, nationwide approach, NAB at 
least recognizes the value of the locals. The video NAB is producing for the 
nightlight period-which could drive massive call volume-will probably be 
available in different versions, with either the national hotline or the local 
numbers shown.

And the calls will come. Despite the massive educational push by various 
entities, Nielsen in December calculated about 7 million over-the-air 
households (6.8 percent of all households with TVs) still completely unprepared 
for the transition.
 
 
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