> - Here's the testimony of cabler Michael Willner of Insight > Communications: > <http://www.ncta.com/pdf_files/Willner%20DTV%20Testimony.pdf> > He noted that his company, with 1,297,900 subscribers, > has 26,184 > HD subscribers (even though 94% have access to HD). The initial parts of this testimonial sort of miss the point in some substantial ways. Tying the shutoff date to acceptance of HDTV per se is not the issue, I don't think. HDTV is not the point -- OTA DTV is the only thing that matters. How many people with cheap-o analog sets will be affected, and to what extent? They don't need to migrate to HDTV, or even know it exists. Since much of his initial testimony addresses HDTV and how cable is carrying HDTV, I wonder how many people in the audience got impatient. I think Michael Willner is concerned about digital must-carry, primarily. What effect would analog shutoff have on digital must-carry? That's his concern, IMO. In the latter parts, I think his comments are to the point. He wants to retain the capability to transmit analog over cable. As far as I know, nothing the FCC said would deny him that, but obviously it would require more bandwidth from his cable to continue simulcasting. Cable could actually get a boost in subscribers. Perhaps cable companies should push for an *earlier* transition, before these really good ATSC make it to market!! Interesting points about the difference in business models between German and US TV. His conclusion says, among other things: "As NCTA's research team concluded in The Transition to Digital Broadcasting in Berlin, 'The Berlin experience demonstrates that given the right conditions, a hard cutover to digital terrestrial television can be successful.' I would add that the success in Berlin occurred principally because of one thing - the widespread availability of relatively inexpensive digital-to-analog converters. Quadrupling the number of over-the-air broadcast channels to 28 (in a 30-channel cable environment) was also a significant factor." And I would add that all of those elements will be present in the US shutoff of analog, by 1/1/2007. We too will see multicasts from DTT stations, as we already have seen, and we'll also see inexpensive STBs. Add to that the fact that the vast majority of TV owners here and in Berlin don't rely on OTA before the transition, and I think that from the viewers' standpoint, there are not a lot of differences. Bert ---------------------------------------------------------------------- You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at FreeLists.org - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line.