[opendtv] Re: DTV deja vu all over again: A visit via Dr Who's Tardis...
- From: Bob Miller <bob@xxxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Mon, 13 Mar 2006 07:57:06 -0500
Tom Barry wrote:
>dermot nolan wrote:
> > It seems to me that nothing much has changed in the US or Brazil
>since 2000. In the US OTA DTV is effectively commercially crippled by
>8VSB's shortcomings, the business model, the lack of a compelling
>differentiated or low cost content proposition, the resounding silence
>of broadcasters, and complete avoidance by STB vendors of ATSC. The one
>thing which will upset the apple cart is that the DVB-H and MediaFLO
>MDTV services will be launched later this year: that will put the
>receivability cat firmly amongst the pigeons in urban USA. And how!
> >
>
>Except that in an environment politically hostile to DVB there can
>probably be infinitely more regulatory delays.
>
>- Tom
>
>
If you mean delays for Qualcomm or Crown Castle I think your wrong.
Qualcomm paid for their spectrum with "funny money" that they won in
court against the FCC and Crown Castle being one of the biggest owners
of tower real estate in the US probably has a decent knowledge of FCC
regulatory miasma.
And I think you can expect lots of reception demonstrations from these
entities and comparisons to other reception experiences. After all
mobile cellular DTV will be amazing because of how easily it will be
received even where your cell phone doesn't work. Expect that feature to
be prominent in their advertising, at least Qualcomm's.
And I think that the FCC has shown openness to new kids on the block
like Sirius and XMRadio as accomplishments of the FCC's. And at the
expense of free OTA radio BTW. It will be the same for these two new
ventures.
The interesting thing is how they square that with their lack of
interest in OTA TV/DTV exemplified by their choice of 8-VSB and more
recently the "white space" controversy. You could argue that the FCC
favors new ideas for subscription services over free Radio and TV
ventures of the past.
The question is what do they do about it in early 2009 when Qualcomm and
Crown Castle will be in the public eye along with super successful
Sirius and XMRadio all with better reception than OTA DTV. I expect that
maybe broadcasters will arouse from their sleep and take advantage of
the potential public outcry that analog turn off will create especially
in the cities and demand a complete review of the transition, and
further delay.
Which would prove Disney prescient.
Bob Miller
>
>
>
>
>>I read the digests on opendtv with wry amusement.
>>
>>It seems to me that nothing much has changed in the US or Brazil since 2000.
>>In the US OTA DTV is effectively commercially crippled by 8VSB's
>>shortcomings, the business model, the lack of a compelling differentiated or
>>low cost content proposition, the resounding silence of broadcasters, and
>>complete avoidance by STB vendors of ATSC. The one thing which will upset the
>>apple cart is that the DVB-H and MediaFLO MDTV services will be launched
>>later this year: that will put the receivability cat firmly amongst the
>>pigeons in urban USA. And how!
>>
>>Meantime Brazil continues the six year long l'amour fou with ISDB-T, no doubt
>>helped by a putative $2 billion campaign sweetener from the DIBEG people
>>anxious to get ***ANY OTHER COUNTRY THAN JAPAN **** to adopt ISDB-T. There
>>must however be a real concern that this could turn out to be the DTV-M for
>>Brazil effectively backfiring as an industrial policy in precisely the same
>>way that NTSC System M did. A case of DTV deja vu all over again.
>>
>>It is interesting to note that DTV has really only been a success in the
>>countries which adopted DVB-T. Now why would that be he said innocently as he
>>stepped back into Dr Who's Tardis borrowed for this visit to opendtv.
>>
>>Kind Regards,
>>
>>Dermot Nolan
>>
>>
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