[opendtv] Re: Sinclair Launches Original Programming Division | Broadcasting & Cable

  • From: Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2014 09:32:00 -0400

I respectfully disagree. 

The quantity of programming is going to decline anyway, because too few are 
watching. You can expect a significant number of broadcasters head for the 
exits when they get the opportunity to take cash for their spectrum. 

The density of the mesh is population AND economics dependent. Time will tell 
if there are viable businesses here and innovative broadcasters to exploit the 
opportunities.

And Bert totally ignores the fact that Broadcast LTE will serve fixed receivers 
too. In many cases far more reliably than the current AtSC standard. And it 
will also serve mobile second screens in the home.

Regards
Craig

> On Sep 10, 2014, at 9:48 PM, "Manfredi, Albert E" 
> <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> 
> I feel that I have to carry this out to what I always assume is the obvious 
> conclusion, but evidently not.
> 
> I had written: "That's the difference, with broadcasters using their own LTE 
> for purely multicast/broadcast, as I think you're postulating. If 
> broadcasters were to convert their spectrum to LTE, and presumably use it 
> only for broadcast (because broadcasters are not wireless ISPs), they would 
> (a) be really hard pressed to equal the amount of program-carrying capacity 
> they have now using 8T-VSB, and (b) they would not be able to efficiently use 
> this spectrum for VOD distribution, or other 2-way services, unless they 
> become ISPs in their own right."
> 
> So, here is what broadcasters would be left with:
> 
> With LTE, and using just for broadcast, they would need a variably dense mesh 
> of transmitters. Very, very dense to match the program carrying capacity they 
> have now. Or less dense, and have considerably less capacity.
> 
> And for this, what do they gain? Would they have access to smartphones and 
> tablets? Why would they? Just as these devices are controlled by the wireless 
> ISPs now, as to what features they permit, same goes with any purported 
> broadcasters' LTE bands. What's in it for the wireless telcos?
> 
> And to make matters worse, those mobile devices that really might use live 
> broadcast from LTE only need it for a teeny, tiny fraction viewing time. Only 
> for certain special occasions.
> 
> So you're left with a lose-lose proposition. People still using OTA TV will 
> get a big reduction in choice, the broadcasters will not get any appreciable 
> audience because the mobile devices still won't have access to those 
> frequencies, AND on demand material that mobile devices mostly want won't 
> come from the broadcasters anyway.
> 
> Bert
> 
> 
> 
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