[opendtv] Re: Which Modulation Would You Choose on a really bad day?

  • From: Tom Barry <trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Sun, 24 Sep 2006 20:27:03 -0400

Bert -

At least for this thread I don't care about dark forces or conspiracies except as they may help to predict the possible outcomes.

You mention as one possibility that, if 2009 ATSC fails, then the USA would quickly switch to COFDM. Do you really think that probable?

That's not really what I want to hear or desire to happen at this stage of the game. The fact I think ATSC may not turn out to be successful does not mean I want COFDM. That is just one possibility.

But if ATSC failure is even a possibility I'd like folk's best estimate of what is likely to happen. How will it play out in 2009?

- Tom

Manfredi, Albert E wrote:
Tom Barry wrote:


And everybody, just for argument, imagine there really is a
possibility that eventually a consensus is mostly reached that
it really does not seem to be working very well. I know, I
know, "ATSC WORKS"! But just for a moment, let's consider what
happens if it really doesn't.


What will we/they do? What would really happen then?


So, let's explore what might happen. Anybody?


See, what's really annoying is that this HAS HAPPENED. And the market
was almost allowed to do its thing, but for unexplained reasons, it
didn't.

What the market forces are supposed to do in this case is that someone
comes up with a better mousetrap. And they did. Companies like Linx and
LG did make big improvements, and people including Mark Schubin and many
others noticed much better results as long as two years ago.

As I suggested many times already, if you're into conspiracy theories,
the only sensible thing to conclude is that dark forces want OTA out of
the picture in the USA. It's close to nonsenical to conclude that dark
forces want 8-VSB out of the picture, but COFDM in.

Figure out EXACTLY why LG decided against marketing their STB, not just
conjecture, and maybe we'll be closer to some TRVTH.

I expect you want to hear that if 8-VSB fails on 18 Feb 2009, then in a
heroic 11th hour move, we'll go to COFDM. Instead, if 8-VSB "fails" and
we "go to COFDM," you can bet a bundle that COFDM will "fail" also. If
for no other reason, no one will want to make COFDM STBs to suit this
market.

Meanwhile, I only watch ATSC now. The only times I ever watch NTSC
signals is if I want to do a comparison test.

Bert
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-- Tom Barry trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx Find my resume and video filters at www.trbarry.com


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