[opendtv] Re: White paper from CEA

  • From: Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Mon, 31 Oct 2005 08:57:31 -0400

At 9:43 PM -0800 10/30/05, Tony Neece wrote:
>The simple fact is that the broadcasters did at first promote DTT.  Then
>along came the controversy over changing to COFDM.  That caused =
>everything
>to come to a halt.

Rubbish. The ONLY promotion that was evident in the early years were 
the announcements at the beginning of a program saying it was 
available in HDTV. I have NEVER SEEN a promotional announcement about 
DTV broadcasts on the NTSC channel of a station. I know that Sinclair 
has been running some announcements in the past year, but I've yet to 
see one.


>STB R & D stopped.  Sony and others pulled back =
>product
>in the pipeline as well as support for HD broadcast production.

Not true.

R&D increased with heightened interest in companies like NxtWave and 
anyone else who could show improved reception.

Sony never pulled back on HD production, nor did the other companies 
pushing HD products. They may have pulled a few products with ATSC 
receivers, but these were VERY RARE until the FCC receiver mandates 
kicked in.

>It =
>looked
>like VHS vs Beta again. With almost no receivers out there it would have
>been asinine for the broadcasters to heavily promote their Digital =
>service.

I guess it was asinine for DirecTVand DISH to promote DBS service 
with NO receivers out there?

But they not only promoted the new service, they subsidized the high 
cost of the receivers, to get the whole thing off the ground. And did 
I mention the huge negative cash flow that both companies endured 
while they built these services?

Broadcasters COULD have invested some of their HUGE profits to 
promote the DTV transition.

They have not done so; in most cases they have done the minimum to 
get their DTV facilities on the air.

>The next step came when the dust settled over the modulation standard, =
>and
>even Nat Osteroff, the most ardent supporter of COFDM, agreed that the
>improved equalizers for ATSC reception made COFDM a dead issue.=20

Remember READ MY LIPS?

Yes, changing the DTV modulation standard in the U.S. is a dead 
issue...for now.

Sinclair wants to grow their business, and they strongly believe that 
DTV provides significant advantage over analog television. This DOES 
NOT mean they think ATSC reception is equal to COFDM. It is simply a 
pragmatic way to deal with a problem.

>
>What then happened was that the big retailers told the manufacturers =
>that
>they would be wasting their time to expend R&D on STBs, because the
>retailers had decided it was not in their interest to advertise and sell =
>an
>item that reduced the incentive to buy new TV sets or sign for Cable or =
>DBS.
>It was the retailers that killed the market.

Rubbish. It is not the responsibility of retailers to promote OTA 
receivers. That is the responsibility of the broadcasters. If they 
would do this, they could create demand, but they are not interested, 
and thus the retailers are not interested in supporting something 
that even the broadcasters themselves will not promote.

Once again, this has nothing to do with technology. It is all being 
driven by business decisions, not technology. it is all about 
protecting the NTSC cash cow.

>I read of one retailer =
>that
>actually told a TV station to STOP advising their viewers to get =
>converters,
>because they weren't selling them and didn't want people coming in =
>looking
>for them!!! =20

Can you provide a factual report about this incident. Can you 
identify the broadcast who actually was running promotional 
announcements?

>
>Oh but how much more fun it is to blame the big bad broadcasters for the
>sluggish transition, despite that for 7 years now they have been =
>spending
>millions upon millions for new transmitters, new STL's, new terminal and
>studio equipment, even new towers in some cases, and a double or triple
>power bill at the transmitter sites.  The broadcasters did this =
>willingly,
>even eagerly in most cases.  The station personnel dug in to learn
>completely new technology and measurement technique.  No small task =
>that.

You are living in a fantasy world. Most of what you wrote above is 
simply untrue.

The total expenditures related to the DTV transition for broadcasters 
is less than $2 billion, and some of this money was for upgrades that 
make NTSC operations more efficient. It is chump change compared to 
the $50-70 billion spent by cable for digital upgrades, and the tens 
of billions spent by the DBS services to gain a share of the TV 
distribution market.

>It is just too much to expect the broadcaster to carry all the load, =
>when
>even now, DTT receivers are few and far between in the hands of viewers.
>Now, really, does anyone truly think the retailers would be eagerly =
>pushing
>DVB-T STBs if we had somehow gone that route?=20

It would be nice if broadcasters would even acknowledge that there is 
a transition taking place.

But Tony is correct about one thing. Retailers are not going to 
promote something that the industry that is affected is NOT 
promoting.  All things being equal, a shift to COFDM modulation would 
have little effect, unless the broadcasters actually started 
promoting it. But it could allow independents, and networks 
affiliates that are tired of being abused by the conglomerates to use 
their spectrum to offer a Freeview-like service. There is no 
incentive to do this today because the ATSC service is too fragile to 
support this business model.  If you doubt this, just ask USDTV.

Regards
Craig
 
 
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