[opendtv] Re: WiFi Supplanting Broadcasting? Get Real!
- From: "Manfredi, Albert E" <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
- To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Tue, 18 May 2004 17:19:13 -0400
Mike Enright wrote:
> If FTTH turns out to be a must in the next 5 years I would be
> surprised
> if MSO's could manage it with the debt that they are already dealing
> with and assumedly would still be paying off in that hypothetical
> future. That's why I raised the ROI issue.
>
> A separate venture might be able to do a "friendly overbuild"
> where the
> MSO might even get a share of the profits for being nice
> about it. But
> that venture would have to light the fiber and attempt to make money
> from it. Why does this remind me of @Home?
I've been hearing about how imminent FTTH is for almost 20 years
now. It seems to be like IPv6, though. There's always innovations
that push the timeline to the right. But eventually, most folks
still expect the shift to take place.
Faster modems killed ISDN pretty effectively. ADSL derailed all
those FTTH must-have concepts just as effectively. Now there are
100 Mb/s variants of VDSL which promise to continue that trend.
I guess it's just plain easier to splice copper than to splice
fiber, so there's a lot of resistance to installing fiber inside
the customer premises.
The other thing is, if you gamble and install fiber along with
coax, there's no guarantee that the fiber you installed is the
kind of fiber you will want when FTTH really does happen.
Perhaps a conduit of reasonable diameter in the customer premises
is your best bet. But, ah, that's even more expensive. Very hard
to fish conduit through walls!
Bert
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