Hi John, Thanks for this review; it's a great wake-up call from someone who really read the paper. So, back to reality for us "space cadets," then? Willow Schlanger On 08/04/2014 07:10 PM, John Schilling wrote: > I was actually at that conference; didn't want to comment until I > had a chance to read the paper, but now I have so here goes: > > The team appears to have used a standard NASA-Lewis torsion balance > thrust stand. That thrust stand, which I have used extensively, is > good to about +/- 10 microNewtons when used in the steady-state > mode by an expert team. There is a resonant mode (look for a paper > by Lake and Dulligan) that can get down to +/- 1 uN or better, but > that isn't what was used here. > > Nor does the team that did this work appear to be thrust-stand > experts. There is relatively little discussion of that aspect of > their work, and what there is suggests that they did some things > right (e.g. comparison to a ballast load to rule out interference > from the power supply) and some things wrong (e.g. only a single-point > calibration). They do not cite a reference to their thrust measurement > technique, they do not give acknowledgement to any of the technicians, > and a quick literature search of their prior work does not suggest > great experience with the NASA-Lewis torsion balance thrust stand. > Absent such expertise, or even the recognition that such expertise > is necessary, errors of several tens of microNewtons are likely and > hundreds of microNewtons are not implausible. > > One thing they unambiguously did right, was to test the null-hypothesis > model of their "Cannae" thruster. Theory says that that with the > asymmetric groves you get ~10,000 microNewtons of thrust from 28 Watts > of electric power and without the groves you get zero thrust. They > tested both, on a thrust stand with error bars of a few tens of > microNewtons, and got ~50 microNewtons of indicated thrust. > > And made essentially no mention of this ever again, except to say > "We got Thrust! Yay Us!". > > Their subsequent testing of the truncated-cone thruster conspicuously > failed to make use of a null-hypothesis model. After repeatedly > showing about the same (lack of) performance as the "Cannae" thruster > in its first two operating modes, they conducted one single test of > the truncated-cone thruster in a third operating mode, demonstrated a > fivefold increase in thrust:power, and found that time and facility > limitations meant they had to terminate the experiments. > > Finally, they put forth a batch of conclusions that are entirely > unsupported by their own experimental data. It would have been bad > enough to have reported the single anomalously high truncated-cone > data point as the baseline and buried the null-hypothesis results. > Worse, is reporting only the Chinese experimental results (nearly > two orders of magnitude better than their own) and the theoretical > calculations which they did not perform and did explicitly disclaim > as beyond the scope of their paper, note that theory and experiment > (other people's) indicate a thrust:power ratio of 0.4 N/kW, and > proclaiming, "...and we also measured (mumble) thrust, so it's all > true and we can have manned missions to the outer solar system any > time now!" > > > They measured experimental error, and nothing more. And they set the > bar so low, with such implied authority, that we can now look forward > to years of dueling claims of "I built an EMdrive out of spare parts > and put it on a thrust stand I had lying around, and got microNewtons > of thrust just like NASA!", "So did I, and I got nothing at all!" > Did so, did not, ad infinitum. > > If theory and Chinese experiment really do validate claims of 0.4 N/kW, > then you really can build an enclosed metal box (batteries in the box, > to deal with the power-supply interactions Henry correctly notes) that > will visibly tilt a straight hanging pendulum. Do that, and get back > to us. > > Oh, and if you can build a reactionless thruster with a thrust:power > ratio of 0.4 N/kW and can't think of anything better to do with it > than fly to Uranus, you are an insanely myopic space cadet. I will > leave it as an exercise to the student how one would incorporate such > devices into a perpetual motion machine capable of providing clean, > free energy on a massive scale. It isn't trivially easy, but it is > almost certainly worth doing long before you build spaceships - and > this was presented at a "Propulsion and Energy" conference, so it > probably would have been worth mentioning. > > Well, except for the fact that the Energy attendees would have been > more merciless in their heckling; there's a long tradition of tolerance > in the "future flight" sessions of the AIAA Propulsion conferences. > > John Schilling > john.schilling@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx > (661) 718-0955 > > >> Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2014 07:53:24 -0700 >> From: Henry Vanderbilt<hvanderbilt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> >> Subject: [AR] Re: NASA test of quantum vacuum plasma thruster (was >> "Anyone >> >> G. Harry Stine made a sideline of looking into alleged reactionless >> drives. He knew how incredibly useful such a thing would be, he really >> wanted some such thing to be practical, so (typical of the man) he was >> rigorously skeptical. I went along for the ride on at least one of his >> visits, to a local guy who was trying to produce thrust mechanically. >> (As usual, strange things happened when you turned the rpm high enough >> just before the device flew apart, and as usual, there was no actual >> thrust involved.) >> >> Harry was actually very kind and polite in letting the guy know it >> wasn't real. Again, typical of the guy. >> >> (Enough reminiscing, cut to the chase.) I recall Harry explaining that >> he considered a convincing demo to be: Hang the device on the end of a >> pendulum in a vacuum, and demonstrate a repeatable constant displacement >> of the pendulum with power on versus power off. >> >> And it occurs to me to add, twenty years later, since presumably power >> of some sort is being routed to the device down the pendulum, set things >> up so the device can be reoriented relative to the pendulum and power >> feed, to distinguish between pendulum displacement due to the device >> actually thrusting along some axis, and pendulum displacement due to >> some power-on mechanical reaction of the power feed. >> >> Henry > > > >