[opendtv] Re: Apple TV Ensures TV's Future Is Not Just Apps, For One Really Obvious Reason - Forbes

  • From: "Manfredi, Albert E" <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Tue, 3 Nov 2015 02:26:25 +0000

Craig Birkmaier wrote:

You are the one with the axe to grind. YOU are trying to convince
us that linear channels are going to go away;

Viewing the old way, what used to be the only way, i.e. viewing linear streams,
is clearly in decline, and I'm hardly the only one saying this. It already
accounts for less than half of TV watching. Usage of the linear stream for
time-shift recording, which also used to be the only game in town if you didn't
want to watch by appointment, is clearly being replaced by newer schemes too,
including in-system VOD or Internet streaming. I have no idea why Craig feels
compelled to dispute these facts. Used to be that 100% of time-shift viewing
was done with VCR/PVR. Now, just 1/3 of time-shift viewing is done with PVR or
TiVo (34%, to be exact). Get a trend line there, Craig? The numbers are here:

http://www.mediapost.com/publications/article/247581/time-shifted-tv-is-the-default.html

Sorry, you are the one saying that the Internet makes linear TV
unnecessary; that every program can be delivered whether live or
from a server. While this is true, and may well happen in time,
it does not mean that linear TV will go away, as you keep
suggesting.

Why are you fighting this, is what I don't understand. Once the new technology
has developed enough to duplicate what the older, less flexible technology was
doing, and also provides lots of new features that the old technology could not
provide, OF COURSE the old technology will be used less and less. This happens
time and time again. Having to support the linear streams eats into system
capacity for distributing content the new way, Craig. That's why the one goes
into decline as the other takes over. Why are you fighting this?

Yet you keep suggesting that all programming will move to on
demand.

As many times as I've repeated this, Craig, you are still not getting it. Go
back and find a single quote where I claim that all TV content will be on
demand only.

The simple truth is that for material best viewed on demand,
if people are using their DVRs still, that's often because
that's the only way they know.

Pure crap. It take an active decision to re or something. They
knew about the show first, and made the decision to record it.

What an absurd argument. Anyone can "know about the show first," and they can
go to a site and watch it on demand. Just because you "know about the show
first" does not mean you MUST use a PVR for time-shift viewing. I do this *all
the time*, Craig. Find out about a new show, find it online.

And, content that's now solely behind legacy MVPD pay walls
is finding its way to the Internet, Craig.

All content (other than live news and some events) finds its
way to FOTA and now FOTI services...

No, Craig. I'm talking about HBO Now, ShowTime, ESPN. Content, even if for pay,
is moving outside the single-gatekeeper garden walls. But again, I cannot
fathom why you feel the urge to not see the trends.

Bert



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