[opendtv] Re: News: Analyst Predicts IPTV Takeover

  • From: "Silvio Macedo" <s.macedo@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Oct 2005 16:30:22 +0100

> ...
> However, cached VOD - you could roll that out right now using a p2p
> delivery engine and compressing the heck out of all the content
using
> H264. However, the only way to make it somewhat work is to drop
drone
> ...
> Kon

Exactly.

I don't know why somebody would pay consultants to see and report the
obvious - or even, why we keep using terms as will/would/could...
These are the news:

   P2P-based  TV is IS HERE already...=20
        ...just, not legal!

to make it legal, but keep it simple, is where we are failing and
should be working on!

This challenge has a name: DRM=20

[quality and scalability]
1 - Most broadband in Western Europe is now around 2 to 16 mbits,
effective. (and most users have broadband). This is more than enough
to transmit decent XViD/H264/etc... and even get some HDTV content -
something most cable ops and DVB-T in Europe don't offer. And P2P will
only get better, the more people use it...

[personalised content and passive watching / usability]
2 - There are several alternatives to automatically get content
according to a user's preferences (for example as I reported in this
list previously, ie RSS feeds with auto p2p downloads).  Much better
than "damn I missed it" or "let me programme my VCR" or "let's zap".
Yet, some work sill to do on usability...

[real globalisation on content distribution]
3 - Normal distribution channels fail miserably to fulfil the world's
desire for Friends, Lost, Couplings, Galactica, Startrek, Buffy, etc,
etc.. - some of these take months/YEARS to get out of US... if ever
(not to mention the same applies to movies)

[all types of content, from everywhere, all the time]
4 - P2P nets make this happen a few hours later - I mean, even
Japanese soaps, Oprah, Larry King and Jay Leno shows are posted on the
web daily! For millions of people, this illegal path is the only way
to get these at same time than in US or Japan...does it really have to
be like this?

[all the time, anytime / VoD]
5 - I recently read Carl Sagan's Cosmos was going to be broadcast
again. Fine. But, what if I wanted it 6 months ago? Better to order
DVD's, if available, or simply type "cosmos sagan" and wait a couple
of days - probably less than what it would take for DVD's to arrive?

[need for DRM and good business models]
He, who can make this work legally and more user friendly will get the
gold. Now, will it be a P2P STB (as Kon and I suggest), a P2P TiVO,
MS-Media Center,  Apple or Broadcast Machine's "DTV"?  Whatever is is
- it will either:  1)fail, 2)be illegal or 3)have decent DRM and
business models.

Silvio


> -----Original Message-----
> From: opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx=20
> [mailto:opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Kon Wilms
> Sent: 11 October 2005 16:25
> To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [opendtv] Re: News: Analyst Predicts IPTV Takeover
>=20
>=20
> Streaming IPTV over the internet is not going to happen any time
soon.
> However, cached VOD - you could roll that out right now using a p2p
> delivery engine and compressing the heck out of all the content
using
> H264. However, the only way to make it somewhat work is to drop
drone
> seeders at the local user POPs, i.e. the provider needs to=20
> create a p2p
> skeleton network so it can work for user #1.
>=20
> It dumbfounds me that people still look to this model of=20
> 'webcasting' as
> the prime method to deliver TV over the internet. Have usage habits
of
> people using the internet shown us nothing?
>=20
> Cheers
> Kon
>=20
> =20
> =20
>
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