https://twitter.com/LeoLabs_Space
From 2 hrs ago:
Data from the most recent event updates show miss distance of 25 meters
(+/- 18 meters at 1-sigma uncertainty). We will gather observation data
tonight from the first radar pass after TCA to hopefully confirm no new
debris is detected.
From yesterday:
2/ Current risk metrics from our most recent CDMs: Miss distance: 12 meters
(+18/-12 meters) Probability of Collision: >10%, scaled to account for
large object sizes Relative velocity: 14.7 km/s
<https://twitter.com/LeoLabs_Space/status/1316410784075972609/photo/1>
On Thu, Oct 15, 2020 at 1:36 PM Ian M. Garcia <ian@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Where are you following the updates?
--
Ian M Garcia
*From: *Paul Breed <paul@xxxxxxxxxx>
*Sent: *Thursday, October 15, 2020 4:26 PM
*To: *arocket <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
*Subject: *[AR] Leo collisions...
The potential large collision in about 4.5 hours.
Has gone from 12m+/-18 to to 25m +/-18 miss distance in 24hrs.
What is the possibility that some clandestine state actor is using laser
ablation or some other mostly secret tech to change the orbit to prevent
the calamity?
Seems like one does not need much delta V to create a miss...
Paul