[AR] changing hardware (was Re: Re: Re spacex falcon 9 landing)

  • From: Henry Spencer <hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Arocket List <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Mon, 28 Dec 2015 16:43:33 -0500 (EST)

On Mon, 28 Dec 2015, Ian Woollard wrote:

Whereas, the Shuttle *couldn't* change much.

The shuttle hardware changed quite a bit over time. There was a certain amount of inertia, yes, but that was mostly budgetary limitations, plus an inefficient organization that made changes very costly. There was a long list of desired changes, but funding them was always a struggle. Some got made only when they had become unavoidable, e.g. the cockpit-display upgrade forced its way into the budget because the old hardware was long out of production and spares stocks were running out. Some things that would have substantially reduced ops costs -- notably, a switch to nontoxic RCS/OMS propellants -- never made it in, not because there was any fundamental obstacle, but because it was always cheaper to carry on with the existing design a little longer.

(And if you imagine that such issues never come up for expendables, you're dreaming. There's a lot of very old hardware and software still in service on today's expendables.)

...the maximum payload climbed from ~20 tonnes to over 30 tonnes, but IRC (and I may not) some of that was changes to the external tank- an expendable part!

It was fundamentally difficult to improve payload mass much by changing the orbiters, because the orbiter had already been scrubbed thoroughly for incremental payload improvements, due to weight-growth crises during development. The original post-Challenger intent was that ASRM -- the SRB rebuild -- would provide enough performance boost for station launches; the lighter ET started to feature in plans only when it became clear that ASRM was in serious budget trouble.

Full reusability, in many ways, is a trap, at the current launch rates.

So what? Building even an *expendable* new launcher is almost impossible to economically justify at current launch rates. Anyone building even a partially-reusable launcher is doing it in hopes of new markets and much higher launch rates.

Henry

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