[opendtv] Re: Accurian DTV STB from Radio Shack
- From: Bob Miller <bob@xxxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Mon, 10 Oct 2005 13:23:09 -0400
Craig Birkmaier wrote:
>At 7:08 PM -0400 10/9/05, Manfredi, Albert E wrote:
>
>
>>The price is right NOW. The performance seems to
>>have reached an adequate level. Analog reception
>>seems to have been beaten, in most cases (even
>>if not with an antenna strictly sitting on top of
>>a particular TV set in NYC).
>>
>>
>
>And still, hardly anyone is buying ATSC STBs or using their
>integrated ATSC receivers with an antenna.
>
>This should be telling you something Bert.
>
>Meanwhile, the transition in Germany IS WORKING.
>
>So what is different Bert?
>
>Is it the technology? If you are correct, then ATSC is not at a
>disadvantage relative to COFDM, so it cannot be the technology that
>is causing DTV broadcasting to succeed in Europe.
>
>Is it the business model?
>
>Regards
>Craig
>
And the difference in the business model has everything to do with must
carry. Without must carry broadcasters would not have been as complacent
in the choice of modulation and would be by now multicasting cable
killing content across the land using COFDM DVB-T 8K. They would be
outdoing the UK model by a factor of three. The transition would be
virtually over by now. Instead of 45% of SUVs with rear seat TV screens
it would be 95% of all vehicles, the success of XM and Sirius would be
non existent or in serious trouble as the DTV broadcasters would be
delivering 20 or so channels of digital radio mobile also. The spectrum
auctions for channels 52 to 59 would have taken place already instead of
just 54, 55 and 59 and since they could have been used much sooner
because of the quicker transition buildouts like Qualcomm's would be
further along. The Crown Castle venture would not exist since their
spectrum could not compete with the 700 MHz.
Since DVB-T/H would be used by most winners of such spectrum at auction,
and more winners would be current full power broadcasters instead of the
lonely Lin TV, the only broadcaster who participated in the auctions so
far, there would be a more integrated and interesting DTV transition
entering hyper active mode about now. All channels, 52 to 59, would be
involved in broadcasting DTV possibly IP. Conservatively 100 million
DVB-T receivers would have been distributed from 2001 till the end of
2005 as USB, PCI, STB, integrated DTV sets and portable and mobile DTV
sets IMO.
And that is what we saw as the future about January 10th 2001.
Bob Miller
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