[AR] Saturns (was Re: APCP ...)

  • From: Henry Spencer <hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Arocket List <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Apr 2023 16:42:34 -0400 (EDT)

On Fri, 28 Apr 2023, roxanna Mason wrote:

> A high-level NASA advisory committee eventually sold everyone on > liquid-hydrogen upper stages, 

This fact still amazes me because of the potential risk against such a high priority program, Apollo to the moon by the end of the decade.

All this was happening in late 1959, before Apollo even existed. When it did come into existence, over the following year or so, it was primarily an Earth-orbit spacecraft -- the successor to Mercury -- with a stretch goal of lunar orbit circa 1970. Lunar landing was beyond the planning horizon, although there were vague hopes that it could be done in the early-mid 1970s with modified Apollo hardware.

Even so, they *did* concede that the focus on LH2 incurred some risk, but at the time there was great optimism about the potential of LH2, and little appreciation of its practical problems. Once the technology was sorted out, it would surely be much like kerosene, only with far higher Isp. Failing to adopt it for Saturn would doom NASA's new rocket to early obsolescence.

Two or three years later, the situation was starting to look rather different... but by then hardware development was already well underway. With a new crash-priority program to put together, NASA couldn't afford to throw everything out and start over; the old program plan was in the trashcan, but reusing as much as possible of its hardware seemed essential for meeting the near-impossible deadline.

(In the end, much of that hardware actually was gone by deadline time, but derivatives of some of it were still there, and most of the rest helped out along the way.)

Henry

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