[opendtv] Re: Pete Deutschman: Linear TV dips below half of US viewers

  • From: "Manfredi, Albert E" <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Mon, 31 Aug 2015 01:14:05 +0000

Craig Birkmaier wrote:

Try again, Craig. A full 40% is streamed. Same amount is actually
streamed as is viewed linear, and never mind all the PVR and other
on demand options. And these stats are from the beginning of the
year.

Prove it.

You have not provided a single convincing source for your numbers,
which magically decreased from more than 50% (i.e. the majority)
to 40% overnight.

Wow (I'll leave it at that). I could not find (again) the exact quote about the
40-40 split between MPEG-2 TS broadcast streams and Internet streams, but other
figures we've been over multiple times, because they wouldn't sink in, should
hardly make this surprising.

http://www.digitaltveurope.net/356912/streaming-overtakes-live-viewing-in-the-us/

http://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/us/Documents/technology-media-telecommunications/us-tmt-DDS_Executive_Summary_Report_Final_2015-04-20.pdf

Look once again at page 8 on the second link.

Only 45% of TV is viewed live/linear in the US, as of a May 1015 report.
Whereas 53% of TV, and 56% of movies, are viewed non-linear. Deloitte calls
this non-linear viewing "streaming."

If another source claims 40% for actual "streaming," then it does not take huge
mental gymnastics to conclude that the remaining ~15% of non-linear viewing
might be PVRs and DVDs. And it also does not take huge mental gymnastics to
expect that just maybe, 5% of linear/live viewing is done online, as opposed to
MPEG-2 TS streams.

The 23% number was well documented.

Where? You already misrepresented that stat in the recent past, where it only
applied to TV viewed on mobile devices. Is this really so confusing, Craig?

Sorry Bert, but MVPD systems still distribute the majority of TV
content in the U.S.

As MPEG-2 TS streams? Prove it! Or to be more exact, prove that those broadcast
streams are being used.

Sling had this same problem some time ago. Their problem stems
from the fact that people subscribe to Sling short term, load
their servers down, and then drop their subscription. So Sling
has to resolve this problem. You don't see ANYONE claiming
it'll take decades. Only Craig.

I did see, and posted the article that Sling is continuing to
have problems Tuesday.

It had nothing to do with the issue you mention above.

Because Craig has proclaimed it so. I don't believe you, Craig. You have shown
time and again that you're arguing like a politician, in support of some
political platform, and otherwise haven't a clue. The short term problem says
nothing at all about whether "the Internet" can handle the load. It is a
Sling-specific problem.

You were not trying to access the same program as potentially
tens of thousands of Sling subscribers

So? Do you not know what CDNs do, Craig? Do you really feel obliged to waste
time like this? Explain to all of us what the role of a CDN is, then see if
this mission of the CDN isn't the solution to the Sling problem.

Take a look at this Cisco report once again. Show me where you see that the
Internet "isn't ready," or isn't going to be. Look at what Cisco says about how
much Internet traffic will be sourced from CDNs, in the next few years.

http://www.cisco.com/c/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/visual-networking-index-vni/VNI_Hyperconnectivity_WP.html

Bert



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