[opendtv] Re: Pete Deutschman: Linear TV dips below half of US viewers

  • From: Albert Manfredi <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 29 Aug 2015 19:00:04 -0400

Craig wrote:

At most, 23% of all TV is streamed, and this includes linear streams like
WWITV, Watch ESPN, CBS All Access, Sling, and many others.

Try again, Craig. A full 40% is streamed. Same amount is actually streamed as
is viewed linear, and never mind all the PVR and other on demand options. And
these stats are from the beginning of the year.

More than 80% of all U.S homes subscribe to a bundle of linear TV channels.

Much less than that subscribe to your "the bundle," Craig. And the number ain't
going up. You're sounding very much behind the times, hanging on to what used
to be.

Even you admit broadcasting is not going away in this decade, probably 2-3.

Try to find a single quote where I say this.

And the MVPD infrastructure is still doing the heavy lifting.

Broadband heavy lifting? Yes. TV distribution heavy lifting via MPEG-2 TS
broadcast? Not anymore. You don't read articles very carefully, do you Craig? I
keep having to spoonfeed this information back to you.

Get real.

I just posted several articles that confirm this. How about the one that
noted
that current Internet protocols favor VOD versus large numbers of viewers

So let me feed this quote back to you, since you misread it once again:

"Event though it's a VOD file, it behaves like a live show because people go in
and watch it at the same time," Wheaton said. "It's not inconceivable that in
four to five years, the majority of television is actually watched over an
IP-delivered network."

Show me where this says that the Internet isn't ready, Craig. It merely tells
you what I've been telling you. It is contradicting your claim that we have to
wait for decades for the Internet to be ready, and it says that in 4 or 5
years, which I think is way pessimistic, the majority of TV will be streamed.
As of now, or actually several months ago, in the US, the same amount is
streamed as is being consumed linear. That's 40%.

Furthermore, if you transmit the live content to the same edge servers that
handle the on demand streams, using satellite, the problem of congestion at the
edge servers is no different from what it is for on demand traffic. If the CDN
can manage prime time loads of on demand, they can do likewise for live.
Perhaps ESPN would be well advised to find other OTT outlets than just Sling
TV, to distribute the load and give people alternatives.

I just want to point out to you that when Sling TV was being overburdened, I
was having no trouble at all streaming TV. How come, Craig?

Sling had this same problem some time ago. Their problem stems from the fact
that people subscribe to Sling short term, load their servers down, and then
drop their subscription. So Sling has to resolve this problem. You don't see
ANYONE claiming it'll take decades. Only Craig.

Bert

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