[AR] Re: Future Exploration Policy (was Re: Re: Congrats SpaceX
- From: Henry Spencer <hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: Arocket List <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 8 Feb 2018 10:30:14 -0500 (EST)
On Wed, 7 Feb 2018, Henry Vanderbilt wrote:
It will take time for a substantial heavylift market to develop.
Time, or a high-volume government customer. Say, a serious human deep-space
exploration program that actually wanted to accomplish something interesting
for the ~$4G/year that's the likely max politically-practical funding.
Even that will take time to materialize to the point that it's actually
spending money on launches. It has the strength that because it's a
command economy, it can (in principle) make fast decisions, so at least
you know the business is coming; it has the compensating weakness that it
can also change its mind quickly later.
Henry
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