[AR] irrational gushing enthusiasm (was Re: Future Exploration...)

  • From: Henry Spencer <hspencer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: Arocket List <arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sat, 10 Feb 2018 11:51:18 -0500 (EST)

On Sat, 10 Feb 2018, Craig Fink wrote:

      ...The only way to "create" bandwidth is to use
      different paths.  For example, with infinite funds one could
      build a phased array satellite several kilometers wide in GEO.

Prices have just come down from infinite to finite,

Oh, nonsense. C'mon, guys, this is getting ridiculous -- sober up! Falcon Heavy is not the messiah; this is not the Second Coming. No, not even for comsats -- even they usually cost more than the rocket carrying them, although there have been occasional exceptions.

The cost of multi-kilometer phased arrays in GEO was finite before, although distinctly large. It is now *slightly* less large -- only slightly. An improvement, yes, but they still won't happen next year.

I imagine this is where things are heading in GEO.

Eventually.  Holding of breath not recommended.

Henry

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