[AR] Re: ... Coronavirus

  • From: Rand Simberg <simberg@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: arocket@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Thu, 26 Mar 2020 11:06:13 -0700

Also climate.

Point is that (with the exception of the cruise ship) we have no idea what the denominator is, so we can't know what the fatality rate is. But it's certainly lower than anything calculated to date, because we know that the denominator is larger than anything we've been able to measure, and probably at least an order of magnitude more.

On 3/26/20 10:51 AM, Uwe Klein wrote:

Am 26.03.2020 um 18:25 schrieb Rand Simberg:
The tallest midget is still the tallest midget. My point is that Germany
(among others) has nothing to crow about.

Calm yourself.

Nobody is crowing ( except maybe Trump and his Maga Crowd while pointing fingers ... )

1 Million Death at current exponent for the US and mid April
is a standalone fact.
In log scale the last 11 days are a straight line.

For Germany it could be a week later.

for mortality differences I am open to suggestions.

Known vs actual infections.

availability of ICU capacity.

frivolous historic use of antibiotics.
( as medication, as food additive in animal husbandry )

age group crossing mingling.
( Italy and China are both showing more span
  in generations living together?)

differences in air pollution.
( helping both virus spreading and illness gravity.)

Uwe



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